modelopacity
BENCHMAXXBENCH MODELOPACITY / RESEARCH
MiniMax-M3 ↗

42.1%
BenchMaxxed.

How far private-test scores fall below predictions from public benchmarks.

PUBLIC → PRIVATE22 MODELS
BenchMaxxed score versus public-to-private rank reversals for all 22 model variantsEach model is one point. Right means a larger private-score shortfall. Up means more public wins become private losses. All values and missing comparisons appear in the expandable results.006101220183024403050PUBLIC SCORES → PRIVATE TESTSMiniMax-M3Muse GlimmerBENCHMAXXED (%) →RANK REVERSALS (%) →
Find your model↓
22models
8private tests
10public benchmarks
2–4scored private tests per model
01 / CHECK YOUR MODEL

Public scores. Private reality.

Click a model. See where the gap comes from.

Comparison view
PUBLIC → PRIVATE22 MODELS
BenchMaxxed score versus public-to-private rank reversals for all 22 model variantsEach model is one point. Right means a larger private-score shortfall. Up means more public wins become private losses. All values and missing comparisons appear in the expandable results.006101220183024403050PUBLIC SCORES → PRIVATE TESTSMiniMax-M3Muse GlimmerBENCHMAXXED (%) →RANK REVERSALS (%) →

Right: a bigger private-score gap. Up: more public wins become private losses.

FRONTIERCODE 1.122/22 SCORED
Actual FrontierCode 1.1 scores versus predictions from public benchmarksThe diagonal means predicted and actual private scores match. Below it means a shortfall. Unsupported models are not plotted. All values and missing comparisons appear in the expandable results.0012122424363648486060ACTUAL = PREDICTEDPREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES (%) →ACTUAL PRIVATE SCORE (%) →

Predicted from SciCode + Terminal-Bench 4.0. Below the line: actual private scores fall short.

AA-BRIEFCASE V1.1 · RUBRIC22/22 SCORED
Actual AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric scores versus predictions from public benchmarksThe diagonal means predicted and actual private scores match. Below it means a shortfall. Unsupported models are not plotted. All values and missing comparisons appear in the expandable results.0014142828424256567070ACTUAL = PREDICTEDPREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES (%) →ACTUAL PRIVATE SCORE (%) →

Predicted from GDPval-AA v2.1 + GDP.pdf · all-pass. Below the line: actual private scores fall short.

AUTOMATIONBENCH-AA0/22 SCORED
—

Not enough evidence to score.

The public benchmarks do not predict this private test reliably enough.

Predicted from EnterpriseOps-Gym-AA + Terminal-Bench 4.0.

AA-ANALYSTAGENT · PASS^516/22 SCORED
Actual AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 scores versus predictions from public benchmarksThe diagonal means predicted and actual private scores match. Below it means a shortfall. Unsupported models are not plotted. All values and missing comparisons appear in the expandable results.0012122424363648486060ACTUAL = PREDICTEDPREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES (%) →ACTUAL PRIVATE SCORE (%) →

Predicted from SciCode + GDP.pdf · all-pass. Below the line: actual private scores fall short.

AA-OMNISCIENCE · ACCURACY13/22 SCORED
Actual AA-Omniscience · accuracy scores versus predictions from public benchmarksThe diagonal means predicted and actual private scores match. Below it means a shortfall. Unsupported models are not plotted. All values and missing comparisons appear in the expandable results.0014142828424256567070ACTUAL = PREDICTEDPREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES (%) →ACTUAL PRIVATE SCORE (%) →

Predicted from GPQA Diamond + Humanity’s Last Exam. Below the line: actual private scores fall short.

HARVEY LAB-AA V1.11/22 SCORED
Actual Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 scores versus predictions from public benchmarksThe diagonal means predicted and actual private scores match. Below it means a shortfall. Unsupported models are not plotted. All values and missing comparisons appear in the expandable results.004488121216162020ACTUAL = PREDICTEDPREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES (%) →ACTUAL PRIVATE SCORE (%) →

Predicted from GDP.pdf · all-pass + AA-LCR v1.1. Below the line: actual private scores fall short.

ITBENCH-AA0/22 SCORED
—

Not enough evidence to score.

The public benchmarks do not predict this private test reliably enough.

Predicted from Terminal-Bench 4.0 + Terminal-Bench 2.1.

MLCR-AA · PRIVATE HOLDOUT0/22 SCORED
—

Not enough evidence to score.

The public benchmarks do not predict this private test reliably enough.

Predicted from AA-LCR v1.1 + GDP.pdf · all-pass.

Private-score gapNo gapSelected

BenchMaxxed = how far private-test scores fall below predictions from public benchmarks. A score gap, not proof of training intent.

02 / THE RESULTS

Put the gap under a microscope.

Higher means a larger private-score shortfall.
Not “more guilty.” Open any row to inspect it.

22 of 22 models
MODEL / CONFIGURATIONBENCHMAXXED
01MiniMax-M3MiniMax · Published configuration · 4/8 private tests42.1% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: MiniMax-M3

BenchMaxxed42.1%
Rank reversals13.3%
Tests scored4/8
Score stability38.0–42.9%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗23.0%32.6%29.5%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗30.3%37.0%18.2%
AutomationBench-AA ↗21.3%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗10.0%25.9%61.4%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗16.7%41.2%59.5%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗0.0%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗17.2%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

9.6 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 6.4%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 25.2–32.4%.

SciCode → 34.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.58. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 31.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.80. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

6.7 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 1.9%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 16.9–19.9%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 33.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.87. 21 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 42.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.70. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 43.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.70. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

15.9 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 9.1%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 53.2–64.7%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 30.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.64. 15 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 22.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.70. 15 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

24.5 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 35.7%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 55.1–61.5%.

GPQA Diamond → 44.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 12 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 37.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 0.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 15 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 16.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.40. 20 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

02Muse GlimmerMeta · High · 4/8 private tests27.6% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Muse Glimmer (High)

BenchMaxxed27.6%
Rank reversals1.4%
Tests scored4/8
Score stability25.0–31.8%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗13.9%32.0%56.5%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗11.5%22.3%48.3%
AutomationBench-AA ↗6.8%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗20.0%21.2%5.5%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗27.0%1.7%0.0%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗——Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗20.0%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

18.1 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 1.8%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 53.4–58.1%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 33.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.61. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 31.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

10.7 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 3.8%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 44.3–52.2%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 10.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.86. 20 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 42.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.68. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 41.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.73. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

1.2 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–18.5%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 25.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.69. 14 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 18.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 14 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GPQA Diamond → 0.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 11 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 2.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Private anchor unavailable

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 14.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.42. 19 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

03InklingThinking Machines · Xhigh · 4/8 private tests26.0% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Inkling (Xhigh)

BenchMaxxed26.0%
Rank reversals2.3%
Tests scored4/8
Score stability22.9–29.5%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗15.8%32.4%51.2%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗19.3%33.4%42.3%
AutomationBench-AA ↗5.0%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗23.8%26.6%10.7%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗41.5%10.9%0.0%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗0.0%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗12.2%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

16.6 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 3.3%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 47.8–53.2%.

SciCode → 34.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.58. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 31.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.80. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

14.1 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 6.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 40.7–43.9%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 25.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.87. 21 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 45.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.71. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 43.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.70. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

2.8 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–21.6%.

SciCode → 28.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.63. 15 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 25.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.71. 15 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

GPQA Diamond → 3.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 12 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 18.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 0.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.69. 15 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 21.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.39. 20 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

04Qwen3.8 27BAlibaba · Xhigh · 4/8 private tests22.5% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Qwen3.8 27B (Xhigh)

BenchMaxxed22.5%
Rank reversals9.5%
Tests scored4/8
Score stability20.0–24.8%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗34.2%30.1%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗47.8%44.0%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗48.2%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗18.8%29.1%35.5%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗15.6%34.3%54.6%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗——Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗21.7%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 29.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.61. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 30.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.81. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 1.9%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 41.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.90. 20 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 48.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.71. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 39.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

10.3 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 14.7%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 29.3–43.4%.

SciCode → 25.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 14 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 32.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.71. 14 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

18.7 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 21.2%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 43.8–57.0%.

GPQA Diamond → 35.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 11 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 33.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.75. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Private anchor unavailable

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 27.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.44. 19 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

05GLM-5.3-FlashZ AI · Published configuration · 3/8 private tests13.1% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: GLM-5.3-Flash

BenchMaxxed13.1%
Rank reversals14.1%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability8.6–13.9%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗41.0%39.9%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗46.4%51.3%9.6%
AutomationBench-AA ↗60.4%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗——Unscored
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗27.5%39.0%29.6%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗0.8%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗51.2%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗51.1%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 10.1%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 37.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 41.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.87. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

4.9 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 20.2%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 7.5–10.8%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 54.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.92. 20 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 46.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 52.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

Private anchor unavailable

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

11.5 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 12.1%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 16.3–32.5%.

GPQA Diamond → 38.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 11 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 39.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.77. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 1.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 14 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 20.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.61. 19 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

06GLM-5.3Z AI · Max · 3/8 private tests9.5% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: GLM-5.3 (Max)

BenchMaxxed9.5%
Rank reversals18.8%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability5.5–10.1%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗40.1%44.5%9.9%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗51.3%49.7%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗62.2%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗——Unscored
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗33.9%41.5%18.5%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗0.3%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗46.1%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗48.3%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

4.4 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 35.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 8.5–10.5%.

SciCode → 44.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 44.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.87. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 9.1%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 54.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.92. 20 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 41.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 58.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

Private anchor unavailable

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

7.7 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 12.1%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 6.4–21.4%.

GPQA Diamond → 40.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 11 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 42.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.77. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 0.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 14 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 14.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.61. 19 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

07Muse Spark 1.3Meta · Max · 4/8 private tests8.4% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Muse Spark 1.3 (Max)

BenchMaxxed8.4%
Rank reversals24.2%
Tests scored4/8
Score stability6.7–10.1%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗40.6%42.8%5.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗58.7%55.9%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗57.9%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗37.5%50.2%25.3%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗43.6%45.1%3.4%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗8.9%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗33.2%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗43.3%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

2.1 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 29.4%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 3.0–5.8%.

SciCode → 44.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.61. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 41.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 5.7%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 54.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.86. 20 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 58.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.68. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 57.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.73. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

12.7 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 47.5%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 18.3–27.8%.

SciCode → 46.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.69. 14 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 52.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 14 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

1.5 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 14.2%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 2.6–9.8%.

GPQA Diamond → 44.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 11 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 45.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 5.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.70. 15 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 33.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.42. 19 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

08Qwen3.8 Max (0902)Alibaba · 0902 · 4/8 private tests7.2% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Qwen3.8 Max (0902)

BenchMaxxed7.2%
Rank reversals8.6%
Tests scored4/8
Score stability5.7–7.7%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗43.2%40.2%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗58.0%54.2%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗56.2%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗45.0%38.0%0.0%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗31.7%44.4%28.6%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗——Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗40.3%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗20.0%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 11.4%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 35.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.61. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 43.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.81. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 54.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.90. 20 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 54.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.71. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 58.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 20 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 4.1%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 33.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 14 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 42.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.71. 14 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

12.7 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 19.1%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 22.6–30.9%.

GPQA Diamond → 44.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 11 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 44.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.75. 20 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Private anchor unavailable

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 35.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.44. 19 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

09Gemini 3.8 FlashGoogle · High · 3/8 private tests5.8% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Gemini 3.8 Flash (High)

BenchMaxxed5.8%
Rank reversals13.8%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability3.7–6.5%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗36.4%38.9%6.6%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗42.1%47.3%10.9%
AutomationBench-AA ↗59.9%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗——Unscored
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗54.6%46.8%0.0%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗0.0%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗52.5%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗21.7%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

2.6 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 18.8%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 2.1–8.7%.

SciCode → 42.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 36.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

5.1 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 19.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 9.0–12.8%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 43.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.88. 21 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 52.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 47.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

Private anchor unavailable

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 3.7%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

GPQA Diamond → 50.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 12 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 44.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 4.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 15 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 30.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.43. 20 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

10Grok 4.7SpaceXAI · Xhigh · 3/8 private tests5.6% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Grok 4.7 (Xhigh)

BenchMaxxed5.6%
Rank reversals12.3%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability4.9–5.9%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗33.8%40.7%16.9%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗55.4%54.8%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗65.6%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗——Unscored
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗47.5%—Unscored
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗9.4%2.2%0.0%
ITBench-AA ↗42.1%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗15.0%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

6.9 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 28.5%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 14.7–17.8%.

SciCode → 43.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 38.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 8.5%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.8%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 57.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.89. 21 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 51.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 50.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.79. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

Private anchor unavailable

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

Two supported public predictors required

Humanity’s Last Exam → 36.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.76. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 2.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.88. 15 models from 9 other providers.

AA-LCR v1.1 → 0.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.48. 15 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 29.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.44. 20 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

11GPT-6 LunaOpenAI · Max · 3/8 private tests5.1% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: GPT-6 Luna (Max)

BenchMaxxed5.1%
Rank reversals15.3%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability4.0–5.4%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗41.9%35.0%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗41.2%48.6%15.2%
AutomationBench-AA ↗53.2%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗43.8%40.7%0.0%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗43.8%—Unscored
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗3.3%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗16.1%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 5.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 37.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.78. 19 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 33.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 19 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

7.4 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 32.9%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 12.1–16.3%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 41.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.93. 19 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 57.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.83. 19 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 43.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.68. 19 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 8.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 35.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.79. 13 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 46.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.80. 13 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

Two supported public predictors required

Humanity’s Last Exam → 29.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.75. 19 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 4.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 13 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 39.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.54. 18 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

12Step 5 PreviewStepFun · Published configuration · 3/8 private tests4.9% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Step 5 Preview

BenchMaxxed4.9%
Rank reversals20.4%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability3.0–8.0%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗38.4%42.6%9.8%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗47.8%48.8%2.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗51.0%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗35.0%36.0%2.8%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗41.5%—Unscored
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗——Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗55.6%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗16.7%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

4.2 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 30.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 8.0–10.9%.

SciCode → 45.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 41.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.84. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

1.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 10.6%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 1.1–4.0%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 50.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.90. 21 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 46.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.72. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 56.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.77. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

1.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 20.6%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–11.5%.

SciCode → 43.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.73. 15 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 28.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.71. 15 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

Two supported public predictors required

Humanity’s Last Exam → 47.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.78. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Private anchor unavailable

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 23.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.42. 20 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

13MiMo-V2.6-ProXiaomi · Published configuration · 3/8 private tests3.5% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: MiMo-V2.6-Pro

BenchMaxxed3.5%
Rank reversals11.3%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability0.0–5.6%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗45.4%43.5%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗54.7%53.5%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗58.6%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗37.5%42.0%10.6%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗34.8%—Unscored
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗——Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗18.3%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 3.3%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 46.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.60. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 41.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.81. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 8.5%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 55.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.89. 21 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 50.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 55.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.75. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

4.5 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 22.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–16.8%.

SciCode → 46.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.73. 15 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 37.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.71. 15 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

Two supported public predictors required

Humanity’s Last Exam → 48.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.81. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Private anchor unavailable

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 29.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.43. 20 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

14DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeek · Max · 2/8 private tests3.3% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: DeepSeek V4.1 Flash (Max)

BenchMaxxed3.3%
Rank reversals8.3%
Tests scored2/8
Score stability2.6–4.3%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗44.0%38.0%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗45.2%48.4%6.7%
AutomationBench-AA ↗68.9%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗——Unscored
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗46.4%—Unscored
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗1.7%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗46.9%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗22.8%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 36.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 38.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.84. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

3.2 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 16.5%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 5.3–8.6%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 51.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.91. 21 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 43.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.72. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 51.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.80. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

Private anchor unavailable

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

Two supported public predictors required

Humanity’s Last Exam → 30.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.79. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 0.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.70. 15 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 19.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.45. 20 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

15Claude Sonnet 5.5Anthropic · Max, Default Fallback · 3/8 private tests2.8% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Claude Sonnet 5.5 (Max, Default Fallback)

BenchMaxxed2.8%
Rank reversals3.7%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability2.4–3.8%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗45.8%50.1%8.5%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗65.2%60.0%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗71.8%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗57.5%43.8%0.0%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗54.0%—Unscored
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗2.8%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗75.0%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

4.3 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 11.1%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 6.7–11.5%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 45.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.51. 18 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 52.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.78. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 62.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.83. 18 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 55.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 75.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.72. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 40.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.46. 12 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 44.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.90. 12 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

Two supported public predictors required

Humanity’s Last Exam → 54.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 18 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 6.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.69. 12 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

16Kimi K3Kimi · Max · 4/8 private tests2.7% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Kimi K3 (Max)

BenchMaxxed2.7%
Rank reversals8.0%
Tests scored4/8
Score stability0.0–4.5%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗43.6%37.5%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗51.0%49.9%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗58.3%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗38.8%43.5%10.8%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗47.6%43.4%0.0%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗5.3%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗47.7%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗38.3%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 4.8%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 45.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.61. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 33.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.87. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 7.6%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.5%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 47.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.89. 21 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 53.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.73. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 43.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

4.7 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 19.8%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–17.9%.

SciCode → 44.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.73. 15 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 42.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.74. 15 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.4%.

GPQA Diamond → 43.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 12 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 43.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.75. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 3.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.72. 15 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 28.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.44. 20 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

17GPT-6 AstraOpenAI · Max · 4/8 private tests2.3% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: GPT-6 Astra (Max)

BenchMaxxed2.3%
Rank reversals11.1%
Tests scored4/8
Score stability1.4–4.4%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗47.0%45.8%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗52.0%57.0%8.8%
AutomationBench-AA ↗68.5%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗51.2%51.6%0.6%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗62.6%53.5%0.0%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗8.6%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗48.6%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗35.0%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 2.8%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 39.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.78. 19 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 51.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 19 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

5.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 18.6%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 5.4–10.6%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 49.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.93. 19 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 67.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.83. 19 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 69.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.68. 19 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

0.3 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 19.4%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–9.3%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 38.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.79. 13 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 64.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.80. 13 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 3.7%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GPQA Diamond → 53.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 12 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 53.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.75. 19 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 6.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 13 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 53.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.54. 18 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

18GPT-6.1 SolOpenAI · Max · 3/8 private tests1.2% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: GPT-6.1 Sol (Max)

BenchMaxxed1.2%
Rank reversals9.1%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability0.0–3.8%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗49.1%43.8%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗55.7%57.7%3.5%
AutomationBench-AA ↗64.9%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗50.0%49.6%0.0%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗62.1%—Unscored
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗6.9%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗33.9%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 36.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.78. 19 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 50.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.82. 19 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

2.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 11.6%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–5.3%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 50.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.93. 19 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 67.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.83. 19 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 67.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.68. 19 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 15.6%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–8.4%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 34.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.79. 13 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 64.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.80. 13 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

Two supported public predictors required

Humanity’s Last Exam → 50.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.75. 19 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 6.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.66. 13 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 53.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.54. 18 models from 12 other providers.

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

19Claude Fable 5.1Anthropic · Max, Default Fallback · 4/8 private tests0.0% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Claude Fable 5.1 (Max, Default Fallback)

BenchMaxxed0.0%
Rank reversals0.4%
Tests scored4/8
Score stability0.0–0.0%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗49.0%47.7%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗61.5%57.5%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗59.4%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗57.5%44.9%0.0%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗67.2%52.0%0.0%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗6.4%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗49.5%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗71.1%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 1.7%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 47.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.51. 18 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 47.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.78. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 58.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.83. 18 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 55.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 68.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.72. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 43.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.46. 12 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 45.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.90. 12 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GPQA Diamond → 44.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.68. 12 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 59.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 18 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 6.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.69. 12 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

20Claude Haiku 5.5Anthropic · Max · 3/8 private tests0.0% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Claude Haiku 5.5 (Max)

BenchMaxxed0.0%
Rank reversals8.9%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability0.0–0.0%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗41.8%40.3%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗52.3%51.4%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗35.4%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗53.8%35.9%0.0%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗36.4%—Unscored
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗0.6%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗63.3%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 19.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 39.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.51. 18 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 40.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.78. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 7.7%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 51.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.83. 18 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 51.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 57.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.72. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%.

SciCode → 32.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.46. 12 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 36.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.90. 12 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

Two supported public predictors required

Humanity’s Last Exam → 41.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 18 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 4.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.69. 12 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

21Claude Opus 5.5Anthropic · Max, Default Fallback · 3/8 private tests0.0% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: Claude Opus 5.5 (Max, Default Fallback)

BenchMaxxed0.0%
Rank reversals0.0%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability0.0–0.5%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗52.2%50.8%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗61.2%61.0%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗69.5%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗56.3%45.9%0.0%
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗66.2%—Unscored
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗4.2%—Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗38.2%—Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗66.7%—Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.2%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 51.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.51. 18 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 50.7% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.78. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–1.5%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 64.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.83. 18 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 55.9% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 73.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.72. 18 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 48.0% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.46. 12 models from 8 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 45.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.90. 12 models from 8 other providers.

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

Two supported public predictors required

Humanity’s Last Exam → 62.4% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.67. 18 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Two supported public predictors required

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 6.1% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.69. 12 models from 9 other providers.

ITBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Two supported public predictors required

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

22K2 Horizon 375B A23BInstitute of Foundation Models · Published configuration · 3/8 private tests0.0% BenchMaxxed

Source variant: K2 Horizon 375B A23B

BenchMaxxed0.0%
Rank reversals4.4%
Tests scored3/8
Score stability0.0–8.7%
Private tests: prediction from public benchmarks vs. actual score.
Private testActualPredictedBenchMaxxed
FrontierCode 1.1 ↗32.1%28.5%0.0%
AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗41.6%38.0%0.0%
AutomationBench-AA ↗37.2%—Unscored
AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗——Unscored
AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗18.2%17.7%0.0%
Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗——Unscored
ITBench-AA ↗——Unscored
MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗——Unscored
Public benchmarks and calculation details
FrontierCode 1.1

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

SciCode → 25.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.58. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 29.8% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.80. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 0.0%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–0.0%. Prediction extends outside the reference range.

GDPval-AA v2.1 → 38.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.88. 21 models from 13 other providers.

GDP.pdf · all-pass → 37.6% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.72. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AutomationBench-AA

Two supported public predictors required

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → 43.2% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.71. 21 models from 13 other providers.

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5

Private anchor unavailable

AA-Omniscience · accuracy

0.0 points below prediction. Rank reversals: 13.2%. Provider-removal sensitivity: 0.0–26.2%.

GPQA Diamond → 7.3% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.77. 12 models from 9 other providers.

Humanity’s Last Exam → 28.5% predicted. Correlation ρ 0.75. 21 models from 13 other providers.

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1

Private anchor unavailable

ITBench-AA

Private anchor unavailable

MLCR-AA · private holdout

Private anchor unavailable

Average of scored private tests. Missing tests never count as zero. Score stability shows provider-removal sensitivity, not confidence intervals. A zero does not establish clean training.

Different models have different test coverage. Choose one private-test tab for a like-for-like comparison.

03 / HOW IT WORKS

Same model. Two kinds of test.

01 / PUBLICScores on published tests
02 / PREDICTExpected private scoreLearned from other providers
03 / COMPAREActual private scoreThe shortfall = BenchMaxxed
MINIMAX-M3 / FRONTIERCODE EXAMPLE
Predicted from public scores32.6%
→
Actual private score23.0%
→
BenchMaxxed on this test29.5%

Average the gaps across 4 scored private tests → 42.1% BenchMaxxed.

The calculation & its limits +
  1. Predict private scores from public benchmarks.Each private test has two capability-matched public predictors. Provider-excluded Theil–Sen fits use the same model variants and reasoning settings.
  2. Score only supported relationships.Each fit needs eight models, three other providers, a positive slope, and Spearman ρ ≥ 0.35. Both predictors must qualify.
  3. Measure the relative shortfall.Clamp predictions to 0–100. Combine them with ρ² weights. GDPval uses raw Elo as input, not as a percentage.
  4. Average the scored private tests.At least two must qualify. Include measured zero gaps. Never count missing tests as zero.
PER PRIVATE TEST100 × max(0, predicted − actual) / predicted

Rank reversals count public wins that become private losses. Score stability removes each other provider in turn. These ranges are not confidence intervals.

This measures a score gap, not proof of benchmark-specific training. Task mix, harnesses, reasoning budgets, and grading can also cause gaps. No model has a verified “clean” label.

SciCode → FrontierCode

ρ = 0.63
00202040406060SCICODE (%)FRONTIERCODE (%)

Coding example. Lines use the full cohort. Individual predictions exclude the model’s provider.

Terminal-Bench 4.0 → FrontierCode

ρ = 0.82
00202040406060TERMINAL-BENCH 4.0 (%)FRONTIERCODE (%)

Coding example. Lines use the full cohort. Individual predictions exclude the model’s provider.

Transparent by design: MIT scoring code ↗

04 / A REAL EXAMPLE

A better test score.
Not a better model everywhere.

Qwen2.5-Coder → Openhands LM.
One specialized checkpoint. Different outcomes.

Optimized for SWE-bench: 7.0 → 37.2.
Django repair: 47.4 → 13.9.

The gain on one test did not transfer.

Study & context +

Shibaev et al., Table 1. Qwen2.5-Coder-32B and Openhands LM 32B. Separate from our 22-model snapshot. The study also reports format failures and task differences.

BASE MODEL → SPECIALIZED CHECKPOINT
SWE-bench
Django repair
LiveCodeBench
Qwen2.5-Coder-32BOpenhands LM 32B
05 / THE EVIDENCE

No mystery numbers.

Artificial Analysis · 22 model variants · 339 published scores · updated manually.

Private tests & their public benchmarks +
PRIVATE

FrontierCode 1.1 ↗

Coding · 22/22 scored
PREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES

SciCode + Terminal-Bench 4.0

PRIVATE

AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗

Knowledge work · 22/22 scored
PREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES

GDPval-AA v2.1 + GDP.pdf · all-pass

PRIVATE

AutomationBench-AA ↗

Workflows · 0/22 scored
PREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES

EnterpriseOps-Gym-AA + Terminal-Bench 4.0

PRIVATE

AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗

Data analysis · 16/22 scored
PREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES

SciCode + GDP.pdf · all-pass

PRIVATE

AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗

Knowledge · 13/22 scored
PREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES

GPQA Diamond + Humanity’s Last Exam

PRIVATE

Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗

Legal work · 1/22 scored
PREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES

GDP.pdf · all-pass + AA-LCR v1.1

PRIVATE

ITBench-AA ↗

Operations · 0/22 scored
PREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES

Terminal-Bench 4.0 + Terminal-Bench 2.1

PRIVATE

MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗

Medical reasoning · 0/22 scored
PREDICTED FROM PUBLIC SCORES

AA-LCR v1.1 + GDP.pdf · all-pass

All source scores +
PRIVATE DATASETS · Artificial Analysis · 13 October 2026 · percentages except GDPval-AA Elo
Exact model variantFrontierCode 1.1 ↗AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric ↗AutomationBench-AA ↗AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 ↗AA-Omniscience · accuracy ↗Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 ↗ITBench-AA ↗MLCR-AA · private holdout ↗
Claude Opus 5.5 (Max, Default Fallback)52.261.269.556.366.24.238.266.7
Claude Sonnet 5.5 (Max, Default Fallback)45.865.271.857.554.02.8—75.0
Claude Fable 5.1 (Max, Default Fallback)49.061.559.457.567.26.449.571.1
GPT-6 Astra (Max)47.052.068.551.262.68.648.635.0
GPT-6.1 Sol (Max)49.155.764.950.062.16.9—33.9
Muse Spark 1.3 (Max)40.658.757.937.543.68.933.243.3
Grok 4.7 (Xhigh)33.855.465.6—47.59.442.115.0
MiMo-V2.6-Pro45.454.758.637.534.8——18.3
Qwen3.8 Max (0902)43.258.056.245.031.7—40.320.0
GLM-5.3 (Max)40.151.362.2—33.90.346.148.3
Step 5 Preview38.447.851.035.041.5—55.616.7
Kimi K3 (Max)43.651.058.338.847.65.347.738.3
Claude Haiku 5.5 (Max)41.852.335.453.836.40.6—63.3
GLM-5.3-Flash41.046.460.4—27.50.851.251.1
Gemini 3.8 Flash (High)36.442.159.9—54.60.052.521.7
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash (Max)44.045.268.9—46.41.746.922.8
GPT-6 Luna (Max)41.941.253.243.843.83.3—16.1
Qwen3.8 27B (Xhigh)34.247.848.218.815.6——21.7
K2 Horizon 375B A23B32.141.637.2—18.2———
MiniMax-M323.030.321.310.016.70.0—17.2
Inkling (Xhigh)15.819.35.023.841.50.0—12.2
Muse Glimmer (High)13.911.56.820.027.0——20.0
PUBLIC DATASETS · Artificial Analysis · 13 October 2026 · percentages except GDPval-AA Elo
Exact model variantSciCode ↗Terminal-Bench 4.0 ↗Terminal-Bench 2.1 ↗Terminal-Bench-Science 0.1 ↗GDPval-AA v2.1 ↗RAW ELOGDP.pdf · all-pass ↗EnterpriseOps-Gym-AA ↗GPQA Diamond ↗Humanity’s Last Exam ↗AA-LCR v1.1 ↗
Claude Opus 5.5 (Max, Default Fallback)66.959.6—59.0186626.2——61.484.7
Claude Sonnet 5.5 (Max, Default Fallback)61.063.6—53.3183825.8——55.082.7
Claude Fable 5.1 (Max, Default Fallback)63.152.091.443.3175626.2—93.759.185.3
GPT-6 Astra (Max)56.559.188.463.3157231.0—96.154.780.7
GPT-6.1 Sol (Max)54.256.1—58.1159331.0——52.983.0
Muse Spark 1.3 (Max)58.833.384.311.0168126.6—93.548.783.0
Grok 4.7 (Xhigh)57.425.8——171220.0——43.176.7
MiMo-V2.6-Pro60.934.8—5.7168219.2——49.486.3
Qwen3.8 Max (0902)52.138.988.811.9166722.847.692.843.180.3
GLM-5.3 (Max)59.041.983.99.5165111.236.491.742.379.7
Step 5 Preview58.933.3—2.4158414.847.2—46.588.3
Kimi K3 (Max)59.512.685.0—153622.045.393.546.988.7
Claude Haiku 5.5 (Max)55.032.8—20.0162020.8——44.482.7
GLM-5.3-Flash51.632.884.34.8164415.433.291.239.980.0
Gemini 3.8 Flash (High)56.619.787.610.0143621.0—95.347.881.3
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash (Max)51.926.8—9.0160012.8——39.284.0
GPT-6 Luna (Max)54.612.6—8.6143022.8——38.583.3
Qwen3.8 27B (Xhigh)46.65.679.80.5141916.644.290.533.982.0
K2 Horizon 375B A23B42.91.571.9—13617.4—87.332.080.0
MiniMax-M347.12.065.20.512429.832.192.939.083.0
Inkling (Xhigh)47.01.055.10.0107612.838.087.231.977.3
Muse Glimmer (High)44.90.551.70.078610.034.783.522.083.3

339/396 cells. — = unpublished. Briefcase: rubric pass rate. Omniscience: accuracy. MLCR: private holdout. Terminal-Bench-Science: context only.

FrontierCode’s 22-model cohort, not every Artificial Analysis model. SciCode is under review and affects coding and analysis predictions.

Sources, updates & code +
  1. Artificial Analysis — FrontierCode 1.1 · private dataset
  2. Artificial Analysis — AA-Briefcase v1.1 · rubric · private dataset
  3. Artificial Analysis — AutomationBench-AA · private dataset
  4. Artificial Analysis — AA-AnalystAgent · pass^5 · private dataset
  5. Artificial Analysis — AA-Omniscience · accuracy · private dataset · Accuracy over all questions, not the -100–100 hallucination-adjusted Omniscience Index.
  6. Artificial Analysis — Harvey LAB-AA v1.1 · private dataset · Hallucination-gated all-pass rate. Do not mix v1.0 scores.
  7. Artificial Analysis — ITBench-AA · private dataset
  8. Artificial Analysis — MLCR-AA · private holdout · private dataset · AA evaluates a private expert/compound held-out set, not the public MLCR dataset.
  9. Artificial Analysis — SciCode · public dataset · Under review by Artificial Analysis after a dataset audit.
  10. Artificial Analysis — Terminal-Bench 4.0 · public dataset
  11. Artificial Analysis — Terminal-Bench 2.1 · public dataset
  12. Artificial Analysis — Terminal-Bench-Science 0.1 · public dataset · Context only. Not used in the default pairings.
  13. Artificial Analysis — GDPval-AA v2.1 · public dataset · Raw Elo. Used as a predictor, never displayed as a percentage.
  14. Artificial Analysis — GDP.pdf · all-pass · public dataset
  15. Artificial Analysis — EnterpriseOps-Gym-AA · public dataset
  16. Artificial Analysis — GPQA Diamond · public dataset
  17. Artificial Analysis — Humanity’s Last Exam · public dataset
  18. Artificial Analysis — AA-LCR v1.1 · public dataset
  19. Artificial Analysis methodology
  20. MIT algorithm v2.0.0, tests, and output

Retrieved 13 October 2026. A maintainer reviews new scores, recalculates, and publishes a static release. No live scraper.

Only the algorithm is MIT licensed. The article, design, artwork, and website are not. Source-data rights remain with Artificial Analysis. No affiliation.

06 / THE QUESTION

Did it learn the skill?
Or just the test?

Benchmaxxing means optimizing for the benchmark more than the ability it should measure. Private tests check what carries over.

THE MODEL IS ONLY HALF THE STORY.

Make your own
AI activity visible.

AI activity on your computer, shared on your terms.

Try ModelOpacity ↗